Climate scenarios for Coventry
The following graphs illustrate the results from the analysis of the 12 Met Office models and the projected changes in temperature and rainfall scenarios from the present to the end of the century:
Overall temperature rises
A significant rise in rainfall in Coventry over the course of the 21st century approaching at least a 30C rise based upon current projections.
Hotter Drier Summers
The average summer temperature up to the year 2000 was under 16oC there is a steady rise over the century rising by 4 oC by the end of the century with an average summer temperature of 20oC
Summer rainfall dropping by over 15 % from current levels with a more rapid decrease from 2079 onwards where rainfall declines by as much as 30% of 2020 levels
Warmer Wetter Winters
A steady rise in average winter temperatures in Coventry over the course of the 21st century approaching at least a 30C rise based upon current projections
A significant rise in rainfall in Coventry over the course of the 21st century approaching a 5 % increase with a rapid rise from 2070 to as much as 20% based upon current projections.
The data in the models developed by the Met Office Hadley Centre are at a level of detail that relates to the Ordnance Survey’s 12km grid across the UK to help inform measures for adaptation and resilience to climate change at the local level.
The Group also mapped out geospatial climate data at a higher level of resolution for flood risk and where possible heat. The WMCA have commissioned a more detailed analysis from the University of Birmingham to help with identifying heat islands across the region to build upon the work we have carried out so far.